Saturday, December 18, 2010

KEELERMAN'S TOP TWENTY ---- December 17th, 2010

1. To Honor and Serve - Trained by William Mott
His pedigree screams classic distances, being by a Preakness winner (Bernardini) out of the Deputy Minister mare Pilfer. He should have no trouble stretching out to a mile and a quarter, expecially since his victory in the Remsen going nine furlongs was so dominating.

2. Uncle Mo - Trained by Todd Pletcher
Although I am still worried about his pedigree, I'm beginning to like Uncle Mo's chances more and more. The track at Churchill Downs during the Breeders' Cup seemed to be somewhat tiring, and to win the way he did was simply phenomenal.

3. Santiva - Trained by Eddie Kennealy
Interestingly, Santiva is a half-brother to Take Arms, who ran third in the Bashford Manor Stakes at Churchill Downs in 2000.

4. Comma to the Top - Trained by Peter Miller
Unfortunately, this front-running colt drew the far outside in the CashCall Futurity. However, he may be the most talented colt in the field and should be able to overcome it. His Real Quiet victory at the same track and distance as the CashCall Futurity was his sharpest effort to date and he looks like a legitimate Triple Crown colt.

5. Brethren - Trained by Todd Pletcher
He will most likely head down to Florida with stablemates Uncle Mo and Stay Thirsty to prep for the Kentucky Derby. It's much too early to tell, but he may end up being the best of the three.

6. Mucho Macho Man - Trained by Katherine Ritvo
He hasn't worked out since his runner-up performance in the Remsen. I'm not sure where he will prep for the Triple Crown, but Aqueduct wouldn't surprise me at all.

7. Boys at Tosconova - Trained by Rick Dutrow
Will most likely receive two prep races prior to the Kentucky Derby, with the first one being the Holy Bull Stakes (gr. III) in late January. I am eagerly anticipating his 2011 debut.

8. Jaycito - Trained by Bob Baffert
I am not sure quite where this colt is heading next. The Sham Stakes is a possibility, but I have a suspicion that he won't return to the races until March.

9. Rogue Romance - Trained by Kenneth McPeek
Although he was soundly beaten by Uncle Mo in the Breeders' Cup, I am beginning to like this colt more and more.

10. Stay Thirsty - Trained by Todd Pletcher
Not much more to say about this colt until he returns to training. I highly doubt that he will run in the Holy Bull, as he probably needs more time to ready for his 2011 debut.

11. Premier Pegasus - Trained by Myung Cho
As I suspected, the colt passed on running in the CashCall Futurity. He has not run since winning the Hollywood Prevue Stakes and I will not be surprised if the Sham Stakes is to be his next start.

12. Gourmet Dinner - Trained by Steven Standridge
Amazingly, he is not done for the year. A start in the CashCall Futurity is next for the son of Trippi. It will be his first start on a synthetic surface, but if he wins he will become one of the favorites for next year's Kentucky Derby. It would also give him an incredible total of $1,050,000 in graded earnings.

13. Turbulent Descent - Trained by Mike Puype
The undefeated filly has two stakes victories to her credit, including the Hollywood Starlet Stakes (gr. I) in easy fashion. A daughter of Congrats, she will most likely run in both the Las Virgenes Stakes (gr. I) and Santa Anita Oaks (gr. I) next spring.

14. Astrology - Trained by Steven Asmussen
Interestingly, Steve Asmussen intends to send Astrology to Santa Anita to prep for the Triple Crown. This will definitely add a little spark to the Triple Crown Trail next year.

15. Awesome Feather - Trained by Chad Brown
I really liked the way that she outfought R Heat Lightning in the stretch of the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies. I’m not sure where she will prep in the spring, but Aqueduct wouldn’t surprise me.

16. Dialed In - Trained by Nick Zito
Broke his maiden in very impressive fashion at Churchill Downs on November 12th. He showed an amazing turn of foot in that race, coming from over eleven lengths back. He breezed four furlongs in :48 2/5 on December 13th.

17. Read the Contract - Trained by Richard Violette
Worked four furlongs in :51 3/5 on December 13th at Palm Meadows Training Center. I would not be surprised if he were to run in the Holy Bull Stakes at the end of January.

18. Mountain Town - Trained by Rick Dutrow
Returned to the work tab by breezing five furlongs in 1:04 flat at Gulfstream Park. Like Read the Contract, I expect to see him return to the races in the Holy Bull.

19. Major Gain - Trained by Wayne Catalano
Breezed a half-mile in an easy :50 flat at Gulfstream Park this morning.

20. J P's Gusto - Trained by David Hofmans
Gets one more chance to prove himself going two turns in the CashCall Futurity on Saturday. Should he win, the Triple Crown Trail is in his future. Should he lose, he will likely return to one-turn races where he should win more than his fair share of races.

Other Notable Horses:

Bandbox - Disappointing after a rough trip in the Remsen.
Buffum - Disappointing in the Remsen.
Clubhouse Ride - Third in the Delta Jackpot; drew gate six for the CashCall Futurity.
Cool Blue Red Hot - Impressive maiden winner
Curlinello - I have a feeling that this colt may be something special.
Decisive Moment - The Smarty Jones Stakes is next.
Elite Alex - Broke his maiden earlier this year, but has not raced since.
Grant Jack - Hard fought victory in the Springboard Mile launches him into the picture.
Kathmanblu - Very impressive in the Golden Rod Stakes.
Positive Response - Six length winner of the Gold Rush Stakes deserves some respect.
R Heat Lightning - Game second in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies; will likely prep in Florida.
Riveting Reason - Broke his maiden last time out; drew post eight for the CashCall Futurity.
Sweet Ducky - Will likely prep for the Triple Crown in Arkansas or Louisiana.

-Keelerman

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