Saturday, September 18, 2010

NATALMA STAKES ANALYSIS

As I sit writing this, it is ten minutes to post for the grade III, one mile on the turf Natalma Stakes.

The $200,000 event had drawn a field of nine, led by the undefeated 7-5 favorite Roxy Gap, but she was scratched earlier today with a fever, leaving the field with eight horses.

The current favorite, at 3-5, is the number seven filly More Than Real. She has only raced once, breaking her maiden at Saratoga by a length and a quarter.

Another interesting filly is the number five, New Normal. Currently 7-1, she broke her maiden by nearly three lengths last time out over this course and should run even better today.

Then there is Sheba's Secret. 9-2 right now, she has yet to win a race but finished second to Roxy Gap last time out, although she was beaten nearly five lenghths.

Street Chimes (currently 4-1) and Dos Lunas (6-1) are also well bet. Street Chimes won her only start by just under a length and Dos Lunas comes off of a second place finish in a stakes race.

It's post time! My picks are. . .

1 New Normal
2 More Than Real
3 Sheba's Secret

-Keelerman

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