1. LOOKIN AT LUCKY Smart Strike - Private Feeling, by Belong to Me Bob Baffert
It's still a toss up between the Arkansas Derby and the Santa Anita Derby. Personally, I would like to see him prep once again on dirt, but the Santa Anita Derby has slightly better timing.
2. ODYSSEUS Malibu Moon - Persimmon Hill, by Conquistador Cielo Thomas Albertrani
His connections aren't sure if they should run in the Wood Memorial or train up to the Kentucky Derby. Going into the Derby off of a seven week layoff doesn't sound like a great idea, but it's hard to say for sure.
3. DUBLIN Afleet Alex - Classy Mirage, by Storm Bird D. Wayne Lukas
I still think that he is going to run big in the Kentucky Derby. He reminds me of Giacomo, never winning any of his prep races, but running the race of his life when it really mattered. I think Dublin can do the same.
4. ESKENDEREYA Giant's Causeway - Alderbaran Light, by Seattle Slew Todd Pletcher
His pedigree says that he will be a major contender in the Triple Crown, but there's just something about him that bothers me. He ran so huge in the Fountain of Youth that he couldn't possibly match that effort. Unless of course, he is a superhorse.
5 CARACORTADO Cat Dreams - Mons Venus, by Maria's Mon Michael Machowsky
I've liked this colt for several months, and I think that he is going to run huge in the Santa Anita Derby. He hasn’t worked out since his last race, but I’m sure he’ll be ready.
6. BLIND LUCK Pollard's Mision - Lucky One, by Best of Luck Jerry Hollendorfer
The plan for her is to run in the Fantasy Stakes on April 2nd and then go on to the Kentucky Oaks. I am confident that she is the best three year old filly around, and that she is capable of defeating just about any three year old colt in the United States.
7. AWESOME ACT Awesome Again - Houdini's Honey, by Mr. Prospector Jeremy Noseda
All he needs to do is run a good race in the Wood Memorial and he will be one of the favorites for the Triple Crown. I love the move he made to take the lead in the Gotham.
8. ICE BOX
His run in the Florida Derby was very impressive, even though he had a lot of pace to chase. He has made it very clear that he is to be considered.
9. NOBLE'S PROMISE Cuvee - The Devil's Trick, by Clever Trick Kenneth G. McPeek
It’s hard to say if he can get the Triple Crown distances, but he is obviously a very classy colt. Finishing second, a head behind Lookin at Lucky, is nothing to sneeze at.
10. SUPER SAVER Maria's Mon - Super Charger, by A.P. Indy Todd Pletcher
One of the many colts this year who seems to need the lead. His pedigree says he can go a mile and a quarter, but I'm still left wondering if he actually can.
11. INTERACTIF Broken Vow - Broad Pennant, Broad Brush Todd Pletcher
His pedigree says he can go just about any distance, but we still don't know how good he is on dirt. I like this colt a lot, but something about him bothers me.
12. RON THE GREEK Full Mandate - Flambe, by Fortunate Prospect Thomas M. Amoss
He's entered to run in the Louisiana Derby this Saturday. There's a tough field lined up to face him, but if he gets a good fast pace to chase, he can get there. His chances at the Kentucky Derby depend on how fast they go up front.
13. CONNEMARA Giant's Causeway - Satin Sunrise, by Mr. Leader Todd Pletcher
This is one colt that seems to be under the radar. Who knows? He may be Todd Pletcher's best shot at the Kentucky Derby. With so many front runners heading for the Triple Crown, it's impossible to imagine how fast they might go. Which would be just fine for this colt.
14. SIDNEY'S CANDY Candy Ride - Fair Exchange, by Storm Cat John W. Sadler
The pace he ran in the San Felipe wasn't exactly testing, but it was a good effort all the same. He won't be going that slow in the Kentucky Derby, but perhaps he is a truly good front runner.
15. CONVEYANCE Indian Charlie - Emptythetill, by Holy Bull Bob Baffert
Well, he wasn't entered in the Louisiana Derby, so I'm hoping that he goes for the Wood Memorial. I don't think that the Arkansas Derby is the right place for him, but I'm sure Bob Baffert will do the right thing.
16. RULE Roman Ruler - Personal Flag, by Rockcide Todd Pletcher
As I was worried, he just couldn't go the Florida Derby distance after setting very trying fractions. He just got too tired. It's hard to say what he might be able to do in the Kentucky Derby, but I don't think he can go the distance.
17. ALPHIE'S BET Tribal Rule - Miss Alphie, by Candi's Gold Alexis Barba
He could be a sleeper, and he may be one of the many three year old stakes winners who do nothing after the Kentucky Derby. I'm going to wait for the Santa Anita Derby before I make a final decision.
18. MENDIP Harlan's Holiday - Well Spring, by Coronado Quest
He'll be running in less than a week, and then we will know if he is to be considered in the Triple Crown. Stablemate Vale of York is off the Triple Crown Trail and won't be running in the UAE Derby, so that will make it a bit easier for Mendip.
19. BACKTALK Smarty Jones - Apasionata Sonata, by Affirmed Thomas M. Amoss
He was not entered in the Louisiana Derby, but I'm sure he will get a shot at making the Triple Crown. I've also felt that he has talent, and he may finally get a chance to prove it on the big stage.
20. PLEASANT PRINCE
I meant to put him on my "Watch Very Closely" list last week but just plain forgot. He ran a great race in the Florida Derby, being beaten only by a nose, and may actually be better than the winner. We'll find out more in the Kentucky Derby.
-Keelerman
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