The American Derby, for years a respected three year old race, is a race that you won't want to miss this year. Nine evenly matched three year olds are set to go to post and I honestly can't seperate them.
The current betting favorite is Workin for Hops, who comes into the race off of a strong second to Paddy O'Prado in the Colonial Turf Cup Stakes. He should be able to handle the distance, although he may have just a bit of stamina limitations, seeing that his sire is City Zip. But he will make his presence felt and should finish in the top three.
The current second choice is Asphalt. The War Chant colt has yet to win a stakes race but has more than proven himself against stakes horses, most recently finishing third to Gleam of Hope and Phychic Income in the grade III Jefforson Cup Stakes. He also finished second to Doubles Partner in the grade II American Turf Stakes, so he could very well come through with a win today.
The third choice is Dean's Kitten, who won the Lane's End Stakes on the synthetic track at Turfway Park before poor showings in the Kentucky Derby and the Colonial Turf Cup Stakes. But he looks ready to get back on track today.
Gleam of Hope is the fourth choice. The colt won the Jefferson Cup Stakes in his last start and has been running quite well lately, and I think that he can win this.
Marcello, Mint Chip, and Mister Marti Gras could also threaten for a piece of the money. Formulaforsuccess and Dream Nettie complete the field.
So here are my picks. . .
1 Workin for Hops
2 Gleam of Hope
3 Mister Marti Gras
4 Dean's Kitten
5 Asphalt
6 Formulaforsuccess
7 Mint Chip
8 Marcello
9 Dream Nettie
They're in the gate!
-Keelerman
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