Saturday, June 09, 2012

2012 Belmont Stakes Update #2

Can anyone say speed bias?

Perhaps it's too early to determine for sure whether or not a speed bias is affecting the main track at Belmont today, but after watching Tiz Yankee, Love to Run, and Wild Target run 1-2-3 almost all the way around the racetrack in the first dirt race of the afternoon, I think the evidence clearly points toward it. While Love to Run did succeed in rallying from second to secure the victory -- he tracked Tiz Yankee throughout the entire race and wore him down right at the finish -- horses like Escape Artist and Reflection completely stalled in the homestretch after making bold runs around the turn.

We'll get another opportunity to see if a bias exists in the next race, when a field of nine will head to post for a main track allowance race. If speed dominates again, you might want to start thinking about Paynter -- or even Unstoppable U and My Adonis -- in the Belmont Stakes.

-Keelerman

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