Sunday, February 13, 2011

KEELERMAN'S TOP TWENTY ---- February 13th, 2011

1. Dialed In - Trained by Nick Zito
Returned to the work tab for the first time since the Holy Bull by breezing a half-mile in :48.90. The Fountain of Youth may be his next race.

2. To Honor and Serve - Trained by William Mott
I'm not crazy about this colt making his three-year-old debut in a nine furlong race, but I'm sure that Bill Mott knows what he's doing. Breezed a serious five furlongs in 1:00 4/5 on February 6th.

3. Uncle Mo - Trained by Todd Pletcher
Stepped up his training with a half-mile breeze in :47.45 this morning at Palm Meadows Training Center. This colt is going to be ready for the Tampa Bay Derby.

4. Brethren - Trained by Todd Pletcher
Victory in the Sam F. Davis Stakes was very impressive. The ease at which he drew off in the stretch was breathtaking. Obviously a very talented colt.

5. Jaycito - Trained by Bob Baffert
I love the fact that this colt will make his three-year-old debut going seven furlongs in the San Vicente. Many great champions in the past made their three-year-old debuts sprinting, including Secretariat.

6. Elite Alex - Trained by Timothy Ritchey
I'm very worried that something may be wrong with this colt, for he hasn't worked out since January 30th. The Southwest Stakes next Monday was expected to be his next start, but I'm not so sure that he will make it.

7. Santiva - Trained by Eddie Kennealy
Breezed five furlongs in 1:00 2/5 yesterday at Palm Meadows Training Center. The Risen Star Stakes will be his next start.

8. Soldat - Trained by Kiaran McLaughlin
Breezed five furlongs in 1:01 1/5 yesterday at Palm Meadows Training Center. The Fountain of Youth Stakes will be his next race. It will be a major class test, for Dialed In, To Honor and Serve, Casper's Touch, and Shackleford are among the possible runners.

9. Clubhouse Ride - Trained by Craig Lewis
Anthony's Cross, the colt Clubhouse Ride beat by five lengths in the Sham Stakes, came back to win the Robert B. Lewis. Tapizar, the colt who beat Clubhouse Ride by 4 1/4 in the Sham, came back to run fifth in the Robert B. Lewis. Hmm. . .

10. Machen - Trained by Neil Howard
Three-year-old debut will come in the Risen Star Stakes next Saturday. It will be a major class test, but I feel that he is ready.

11. Rogue Romance - Trained by Kenneth McPeek
Expected to make his three-year-old debut in the Risen Star. It will take a strong effort to defeat Machen, but win or lose we shall see very clearly how he has progressed over the winter.

12. Anthony’s Cross – Trained by Eoin Harty
Courageous victory in the Robert B. Lewis shows that the addition of the blinkers was the right move. Fine colt needs to keep improving, however.

13. Stay Thirsty - Trained by Todd Pletcher
Recorded his third workout of the year this morning, breezing a half-mile in :47.45 at Palm Meadows Training Center. He should be primed and ready for his three-year-old debut in March.

14. Casper's Touch - Trained by Kenneth McPeek
This fine colt finished second in a February 5th allowance race at Gulfstream Park, closing well despite being bumped very hard in the homestretch. I feel he would have won if not for that bump.

15. Silver Medallion - Trained by Steve Asmussen
Upset victory over Comma to the Top in the El Camino Real Derby stamped this colt as a good one. He won the race despite being impeded twice by Comma to the Top.

16. Turbulent Descent - Trained by Mike Puype
Her defeat to Zazu in the Las Virgenes surprised me greatly. However, it appeared that she needed the race and should improve in her next start.

17. Riveting Reason - Trained by Myung Cho
Game second in the Robert B. Lewis Stakes proves just how talented he is. If he continues to improve, the Santa Anita Derby should be within his reach.

18. Mucho Macho Man - Trained by Katherine Ritvo
It sounds like the Risen Star Stakes (gr. II) at Fair Grounds will be this colt's next race. It looks like a very good spot for him, but he will have to run well to remain on this list.

19. Shackleford - Trained by Dale Romans
Won the allowance race in which Casper's Touch finished second. The Fountain of Youth Stakes in two weeks may be his next race.

20. Tapizar - Trained by Steve Asmussen
I was extremely disappointed by this colt’s dismal performance in the Robert B. Lewis Stakes. Not only did he weaken in the final furlong to finish fifth, but he was very, very rank in the early going. He will have to learn to settle if he is to have any chance at winning the Kentucky Derby.

OTHER NOTABLE HORSES

Top Notables:

Adirondack Summer - Has not worked out since his Dania Beach victory. Wondering if something’s wrong.
Alternation - Six furlong breeze in 1:15 1/5 on Feb. 7th makes me wonder if he's ready for the Southwest or not.
Astrology - Easy breezes at Santa Anita show that he is nowhere near his next race.
Awesome Patriot - Five furlong breeze in 1:00 3/5 shows that he's nearly ready for his next race.
Bert B Don - Should relish two turns but hasn't breezed since January 29th.
Bowman's Causeway - Sharp victory in a nine furlong maiden special weight at Gulfstream merits respect.
Caleb's Posse - Perhaps the Southwest Stakes is next.
Cal Nation - Broke his maiden first time out at Gulfstream Park on February 5th.
Chasing Moonlight - Wondering where he will run next.
Comma to the Top - Very disappointing in the El Camino Real Derby; may not have cared for the track.
Congo - Promising youngster overcame traffic to win an allowance optional claiming race on February 4th at Aqueduct.
Cool Blue Red Hot - Wondering where he will run next.
Crossbow – Can't wait until he stretches out.
Decisive Moment - Risen Star Stakes is next on the agenda.
Flashpoint - Broke his maiden running six furlongs in 1:09.68 at Aqueduct.
Gourmet Dinner - Delta Jackpot winner just doesn't strike me as a Derby horse.
Indian Winter - San Vicente Stakes should tell us more about him.
J J's Lucky Train - Ran second in the Whirlaway; obviously talented and game.
J P's Gusto - Switched trainers recently and will move to Oaklawn Park.
J W Blue - Fine colt with a potent late kick looks promising.
Kathmanblu - Promising filly was not nominated to the Triple Crown.
Nacho Business - Broke his maiden impressively on Jan. 30th while defeating Bowman's Causeway, who came back to break his maiden two days ago.Positive Response - Ran third in the El Camino Real Derby despite a less than ideal trip.
Premier Pegasus - Breezed five furlongs in 1:00 2/5 this morning.
Queen'splatekitten - Brilliant colt turned in an unbelievable late run in a February 5th allowance race.
Runflatout - May or may not make the San Vicente.
Sway Away - The San Vicente Stakes is expected to be his next start.
Sweet Ducky - Will train up to the Florida Derby.
The Factor - Will likely run in the San Vicente next week.
Toby's Corner - Promising colt won the Whirlaway over a sloppy track.
Travelin Man - Breezed a half-mile in :49 flat this morning.
Wilkinson - LeComte winner should have no trouble with a mile and a quarter.

Secondary Notables:

Bandbox - Has been breezing at Laurel Park.
Beamer - Failed to impressive in the Sam F. Davis.
Black N Beauty - May prefer seven furlongs.
Buffum - Finished fifth in UAE 2,000 Guineas.
Commander - Not sure what to think of him.
Dance City - Promising maiden winner deserves respect.
Determinato - Spectacular Bid winner may run in the Hutcheson Stakes.
Gold Raptor - Hasn't breezed since January 5th, but has run twice since then.
Grant Jack - Hasn't breezed in nearly two weeks.
Justin Phillip - Gets another chance in the Risen Star.
Major Gain - No workouts since the Holy Bull.
Manicero - Still worried about this one’s pedigree.
Monzon - Very disappointing in the Sam F. Davis.
R Heat Lightning - Disappointing in the Forward Gal.
Striding Ahead - Broke his maiden impressively at Tampa Bay Downs on February 5th.
Uncle Sam - Has not breezed since the Sham Stakes.
Wine Police - Will likely return in an allowance race at Fair Grounds.

-Keelerman

No comments:

Post a Comment