Wednesday, January 19, 2011

KEELERMAN'S TOP TWENTY ---- January 19th, 2011

1. To Honor and Serve - Trained by William Mott
Recorded his first workout since the Remsen on the 16th, when he breezed three furlongs in :39 4/5 at Payson Park Training Center.

2. Uncle Mo - Trained by Todd Pletcher
The Tampa Bay Derby in March has been announced as the tentative goal for the newly-crowned Champion 2yo Male. He will also be returning to the work tab shortly.

3. Comma to the Top - Trained by Peter Miller
Worked six furlongs in 1:14 4/5 at Hollywood Park this morning in preparation for an expected start in the El Camino Real Derby against Positive Response.

4. Santiva - Trained by Eddie Kennealy
Breezed for the first time since the Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes when he worked a half-mile in :50 2/5 on January 13th at Palm Meadows Training Center.

5. Brethren - Trained by Todd Pletcher
The undefeated colt breezed five furlongs in 1:03 1/5 at Palm Meadows on the 17th. The Sam F. Davis Stakes in February could be his next race.

6. Mucho Macho Man - Trained by Katherine Ritvo
This extremely large sophomore worked another brilliant five furlongs on January 15th, getting the distance in :59 1/5 handily at Gulfstream Park. I am highly anticipating his start in the Holy Bull on January 30th.

7. Tapizar - Trained by Steve Asmussen
His decisive victory in the Sham Stakes was obviously helped by the speed-biased Santa Anita main track, but I must admit that his performance was exceptional and it showed that he has a ton of talent. If he keeps improving, he could be one of the favorites at Churchill Downs.

8. Boys at Tosconova - Trained by Rick Dutrow
The one-turn mile of the Holy Bull Stakes seems made to order for this fine colt, which I'm sure is part of the reason why he is running there. He should have every chance at winning, but will have to defeat Mucho Macho Man to do so.

9. Jaycito - Trained by Bob Baffert
Worked a half-mile yesterday at Santa Anita Park, getting the distance in :49 2/5. The Robert B. Lewis Stakes in February is his current goal.

10. Clubhouse Ride - Trained by Craig Lewis
Finished a strong, closing second in the Sham Stakes despite racing on a speed-favoring track. This is a colt who may end up being overlooked leading up to the Kentucky Derby despite the fact that he has shown a lot of potential.

11. Rogue Romance - Trained by Kenneth McPeek
On February 15th, he breezed an easy three furlongs in :38 seconds at Gulfstream Park. He obviously is nowhere near his next start, so I wouldn't be surprised if he didn't race again until late February or March.

12. Stay Thirsty - Trained by Todd Pletcher
He still hasn't worked out since the Breeders' Cup Juvenile. At this point I can't see him racing until March. Perhaps the Rebel Stakes at Oaklawn Park will be his next start.

13. Premier Pegasus - Trained by Myung Cho
I must admit that this colt has me intrigued. He hasn't worked out since winning the Hollywood Prevue Stakes in November. Therefore, he probably won't start again until March.

14. Turbulent Descent - Trained by Mike Puype
Worked a solid six furlongs in 1:13 flat at Hollywood Park. She is expected to make her 2011 debut in the Las Virgenes Stakes (gr. I) on February 5th.

15. Astrology - Trained by Steven Asmussen
Seeing that he hasn't worked out since the Kentucky Jockey Club, he must be nowhere near his next race. Perhaps the San Felipe Stakes (gr. II) in March will be his next start.

16. Gourmet Dinner - Trained by Steven Standridge
Worked out for the first time since the CashCall Futurity by breezing a half-mile in :48 1/5 at Gulfstream Park. The Holy Bull Stakes is coming up too soon, so I suppose that the Sam F. Davis Stakes could be his next start.

17. Dialed In - Trained by Nick Zito
He has been entered in a nine-furlong allowance race at Gulfstream Park on the 21st. He doesn't necessarily have to win, just so long as he shows a nice kick in the stretch. There is plenty of time for him to mature and master his talent later.

18. Black N Beauty - Trained by Dale Romans
I would love to see this colt in the Holy Bull Stakes on January 30th. I have the suspicion that he can hold his own against Boys at Tosconova and Mucho Macho Man.

19. J P's Gusto - Trained by David Hofmans
Worked a terrific six furlongs yesterday at Santa Anita, getting the distance in 1:11 4/5, the fastest of the day. The Robert B. Lewis Stakes is his current goal.

20. Elite Alex - Trained by Timothy Ritchey
His second-place finish in an allowance optional claiming race last Saturday was truly remarkable. He overcame a bad start, a slow pace, and racing wide to just miss by a head. I have a feeling that this colt is something unusually special.

OTHER NOTABLE HORSES

Top Notables:
Alternation - Won the allowance race in which Elite Alex ran second, albeit a better trip.
Awesome Patriot - Worked a half-mile in :48 flat yesterday at Santa Anita.
Bert B Don - Showed talent when finishing a late-running second in the Pasco Stakes.
Cool Blue Red Hot - Entered in a nine-furlong allowance race at Gulfstream Park on Friday.
Crossbow - The Whirlaway Stakes seems like a logical place to make his two-turn debut.
Decisive Moment - Easy win in Jean Lafitte proves that he merits respect.
Justin Phillip - Will likely be the favorite in Saturday's LeComte Stakes.
Kathmanblu - Entered in the Sweetest Chant Stakes on the turf at Gulfstream on Saturday.
Major Gain - The Holy Bull seems like a logical start.
Monzon - Would love to seem in run against Crossbow in the Whirlaway.
Mountain Town - Has not worked out in two weeks, which makes me wonder if a setback has occurred.
Positive Response - Showed a new dimension in the California Derby, rating off the pace before winning easily.
R Heat Lightning - The Forward Gal Stakes should be next.
Sway Away - The Holy Bull could be next.
The Factor - Worked five furlongs in :58 flat on January 9th.
Travelin Man - Impressive maiden winner.
Wine Police - Breezed five furlongs in 1:06 2/5 at Fair Grounds on the 17th.

Secondary Notables:Anthony’s Cross - Disappointing in the Sham Stakes.
Bandbox - Worked a half-mile in: 46 4/5 on the 14th at Laurel Park.
Buffum - No workouts since the Remsen.
Commander - Finished third behind Alternation and Elite Alex in an allowance race.
Grant Jack - Very disappointing in the Smarty Jones Stakes.
Manicero - Victory in Pasco Stakes was nice, but he showed serious stamina limitations.
Read the Contract - Disappointing in the Pasco Stakes.
Riveting Reason - Seems to have taken a step back since finishing third in the Norfolk.
Sweet Ducky - The Holy Bull may be his next start.
Uncle Sam - Disappointing in the Sham Stakes.
Zayda - Very disappointing in the California Derby.

-Keelerman

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